Ensemble Forecast of a Typhoon Flood Event

Epidemiological Characteristics of Lower Extremity Cellulitis after a Typhoon Flood

OBJECTIVE The flood after a typhoon may lead to increase in patients with cellulitis of lower limbs. However, the microbiological features of these cases are rarely reported. We conducted a study of patients with lower extremity cellulitis after a typhoon followed in southern Taiwan to study the risk factors of cellulitis and the bacteriological features of the patients. METHODS We reviewed a...

Improvements on Typhoon Forecast with Assimilated GPS Occultation Refractivity

Monte Carlo simulation of distributed rainfall-runoff conditions for probabilistic short-term flood forecasting

A framework for short-term probabilistic forecasting of watershed flood stage conditions using a distributed rainfall-runoff model is proposed. A stochastic rainfall pattern simulation model capable of generating input for a distributed rainfall-runoff model is developed. Generation of rainfall patterns over a 6-hour period is achieved using a translation vector rainfall forecasting process mod...

Three-dimensional evolution of ensemble forecast spread during the onset of a stratospheric sudden warming event in January 2006

Analysing the evolution of ensemble forecast spread, which represents the growth of errors in the initial field and therefore uncertainty of forecasts for subsequent fields, is useful for identifying particular circulation features that can impact the forecast skill of a subsequent phenomenon of interest. In this study, the trigger of a major stratospheric sudden warming (SSW) event observed in...

A Multi-UAV Targeting Algorithm for Ensemble Forecast Improvement

This paper presents an algorithm for targeting a team of UAVs as sensor platforms to ensure the improvement in the forecast at a separate verification time and location within the ensemble forecast framework. The information gain at the verification time/space is used as a metric of the forecast uncertainty reduction, and a computationally efficient backward selection method forms the backbone ...